Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002177 0.002299 0.002427 0.002574 0.002738 0.002916 0.003127
2025-02-16 0.001986 0.002153 0.002339 0.002563 0.002830 0.003142 0.003543
2025-02-23 0.001889 0.002090 0.002323 0.002618 0.002990 0.003456 0.004105
2025-03-02 0.001774 0.001991 0.002250 0.002589 0.003034 0.003622 0.004504
2025-03-09 0.001670 0.001895 0.002168 0.002534 0.003033 0.003721 0.004818
2025-03-16 0.001627 0.001867 0.002166 0.002580 0.003166 0.004019 0.005494
2025-03-23 0.001585 0.001838 0.002158 0.002613 0.003281 0.004305 0.006227
2025-03-30 0.001527 0.001782 0.002110 0.002586 0.003303 0.004447 0.006742
2025-04-06 0.001460 0.001712 0.002040 0.002520 0.003258 0.004467 0.007018
2025-04-13 0.001413 0.001666 0.001997 0.002491 0.003266 0.004579 0.007526
2025-04-20 0.001338 0.001578 0.001895 0.002367 0.003112 0.004382 0.007268
2025-04-27 0.001308 0.001550 0.001874 0.002363 0.003150 0.004541 0.007923
2025-05-04 0.001293 0.001544 0.001884 0.002409 0.003283 0.004913 0.009368
2025-05-11 0.001265 0.001519 0.001867 0.002413 0.003345 0.005161 0.010655
2025-05-18 0.001255 0.001517 0.001882 0.002468 0.003503 0.005652 0.013302
2025-05-25 0.001222 0.001483 0.001849 0.002443 0.003513 0.005810 0.014850
2025-06-01 0.001186 0.001442 0.001803 0.002395 0.003472 0.005842 0.015867
2025-06-08 0.001175 0.001438 0.001812 0.002436 0.003610 0.006356 0.020734
2025-06-15 0.001162 0.001429 0.001814 0.002466 0.003727 0.006858 0.027833
2025-06-22 0.001137 0.001402 0.001785 0.002442 0.003732 0.007041 0.033179
2025-06-29 0.001105 0.001363 0.001738 0.002382 0.003655 0.006959 0.034825
2025-07-06 0.001082 0.001338 0.001711 0.002356 0.003648 0.007098 0.041633
2025-07-13 0.001039 0.001283 0.001636 0.002244 0.003447 0.006580 0.033534